The Sensex And The General Elections


Sensex Before The Polls

Much has been made of the current rally in the SENSEX,which is generally explained as anticipation of a Modi win.However,compared to the earlier elections in 1999, 2004 and 2009,the rally in 2014 has been much less spectacular,as you can see by following the black line.

Also more volatile markets were seen in both 1999 and 2004- the green and blue lines.

Interestingly,speculators start reacting more sharply in the last couple of weeks before counting gets underway.In 2004.when the markets were seen as anticipating a BJP win, like today,it had already began trending down in the days leading to the vote count.

Predicting the outcome of the elections is itself less than an exact science.So too is predicting the stock market movements.So leave such predictions to the insiders if you wish to safeguard your capital.Or become an insider before you speculate,if you are inclined that way.

 

Products Of Failure


wealthymatters

YouTube is the remains of a failed video dating website; it sold for $1.6 billion.

Instagram is the remains of a failed check-in app; it sold to Facebook for around $1 billion.

Entrepreneurs who fail do pretty well, just so long as each failure is used as a lesson for the future.Failure is a necessary price for success. At Google they have a saying: “Fail fast and iterate.” This is something all entrepreneurs need to do.Business is not only about an idea, but also how to polish an idea, launch it quickly and learn from the market. The best way to know if an idea works is to launch it quickly and see how the market reacts.If you have a work culture where bringing your mistakes to the table every week is a normal thing to do, it feels less like failing and more like learning. Learn to love your failures.

Indian CEO Stats


Wealthymatters

Just 8% of Indian CEOs are below 40 years. The sweet spot for India Inc is 41-70, but the 31-40 years set is making its presence felt: on an average, this set earns the most, even though it manages lower revenues. This set has aspirations and would like to find corporate positions to express them

Apology Accepted


 

wealthymattersIf you have been reading my blog for a while,you know I had a run-in with ICICI-Lombard’s SEO team last November.Link.

On my return to Mumbai,following is a mail I found in my inbox.It does make me feel a bit better about the matter for it shows that where an individual errs,the organization has a system in place to try to right issues.But I am not sure about removing an archived post.Right from the beginning,I have faithfully kept intact all posts,comments and replies without any whitewashing and I am not so certain I wish to change things now.Relationships,I believe are made not by never being wrong but by saying sorry when things go wrong.And as such,I believe,this is the end of this matter. Read more of this post

How To Invest When You Are Not An Expert


wealthymattersIn 1986, Warren Buffett bought a 400-acre farm in Nebraska, and in 1993, he invested in a retail property near the New York University campus. The deals came after farming and real estate bubbles had burst, and in both cases, he knew very little about the day-to-day operations of what he was buying. But Buffett saw the potential. And while he may not have known about farming or building management, he knew people who did.

Buffett’s son ,Howard,who is a farmer, gave him a rough idea of the costs and returns. A fellow investor in the New York building was a seasoned buyer of real estate who could help to manage it.

Years later the farm is worth five times what he paid for it, and the building now throws off annual distributions that exceed 35% of the initial equity investment. “You don’t need to be an expert in order to achieve satisfactory investment returns,” Buffett writes. “But if you aren’t, you must recognise your limitations and follow a course certain to work reasonably well.”

Here’s how he explains his mind set: “With my two small investments, I thought only of what the properties would produce and cared not at all about their daily valuations.”