Buy The Product Not The Shares


wealthymattersInvest in their apartments, and you will get rich. But invest in their shares and you will be poorer. Unlike in other sectors, values of shares of listed real estate companies do not reflect the growing value of their products. Sample this: Investments made in shares of real estate companies like Delhi-based Unitech and DLF, Mumbai-based Indiabulls Real Estate or Bangalore-based Purvankara in 2008 would have crashed to half or to a fifth of their value by now whereas in the same period, returns from investments made in homes built by the same companies would have risen anywhere between 50% and 150% or more. If one had bought an apartment in any Gurgaon-based apartment building of DLF — India’s biggest builder — in 2008, the investment would have, by now, appreciated 60-175%. Had the same money been used to purchase DLF’s shares the same year, that investment would have eroded to just 20%. Investors of Unitech, Indiabulls and other real estate firms would have a similar story to tell. Read more of this post

The Difficulty Of Interpreting Inflation


wealthymatters“It is difficult, even for me, to interpret inflation.When I was young and I had a thick mop of hair, I paid Rs 25 for a haircut … now I have hardly any hair but pay Rs 150 for a haircut.I struggle to determine how much of that is inflation and how much is the premium I pay the barber for the privilege of cutting the Governor’s non-existent hair.”-Duvvuri Subbarao

Cut Your Losses Fast


And here’s why……..

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What’s the chance that your losers will give the sort of chart busting returns to recoup your losses?In the mean time you are losing the chance to earn at least savings bank returns on your money.You don’t get to spend the sort of money your managers are losing you.Inflation is making the remaining less valuable.And you are losing out on money you could make by reinvesting in better avenues.

Its painful to lose money but more painful to stick with the losers.

 

Urjit Patel on Inflation


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Here are some bon mots from our new Dy. Governor of the RBI:

“Assertions that imported inflation and external developments — like global excess liquidity — lie at the root of price developments in India ring hollow.”

“What is clear is that persistence of elevated inflation is agreeable to some policymakers.The authorities want to take credit for India’s growth performance but stay blameless on the price front — a case of heads I win, tails you lose!”

“This is an astonishing series of nihilistic statements — unassisted by evidence or even a hint of scientific thoroughness — from the central bank head pleading either hopelessness on account of India being a large and diverse federal entity, or, a form of muddled eclecticism.”

“The profligacy of the central government has its primary driver in populist spending policies initiated in early 2008 by the ruling coalition leading up to national elections in May 2009.”

“Three stimulus packages (including a reduction in indirect tax rates) starting in late 2008 to counter the global recessionary head winds only accentuated matters.”

“If gold prices stay elevated or increase going forward, and wealth effects emanating from this externally generated feature are quantitatively important, than monetary policy has that much more work to do to tame inflation.”

These are heartening words indeed for those of us concerned about the detrimental effects of our persistently high inflation even as growth prospects have muted.