RBI and its Repo Rates


wealthymattersEvery time the RBI announces an interest rate change do you start wondering how it will affect the prices of your shares,how much you can get on your fixed deposits,whether it is a good time to buy bonds or bond funds,how much your EMIs will cost etc.?Then reading the following article from today’s ET is a must.It is written by Madan Sabnavis, chief economist of CARE Ratings.

Lag Effect of Rate Rise Worries Apex Bank 

Every time the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) increases interest rates, a plethora of voices are heard. Industry laments that their profits get squeezed affecting growth. Bankers aver that their interest margins come under pressure and non-performing assets (NPAs) get Read more of this post

Today’s Lessons


wealthymatters.comIn 2008 gold was treated like any other high risk asset when the collapse of Lehman Brothers sparked heavy selling across financial markets in a widely-documented “dash for cash” — after which it bounced back hard to record highs. In Q1 2009, the gold price recovered long before other assets hit bottom.History would suggest that while gold has taken a beating, it is far from down and out.Monday’s tumble to around $1,535 an ounce dragged prices 20 percent below the record $1,920 reached last Thursday. But since its rise from just over $250 in early 2001, gold has bounced back from bigger drops, having fallen 25 percent between May and June 2006, and 27 percent in October 2008.General financial market Read more of this post

Inflation Gains Currency


wealthymatters.comThese figures are from the ET article Inflation Gains Currency & How!Dated Sept,2011

1.) For the first time India will print as many new 1000 rs notes as 500

2.)For the first time,in value terms,the 1000 rupee notes will account for more money than 500 notes which were the mainstay of high value transactions for some time.

3. )2,000 million i.e. double the number of 100o rupees notes printer last year are to be printed this year. Read more of this post

The Rupee Dollar Exchange Rate


wealthymatters.comThis is a very brief post.I read this article yesterday in the Mumbai Mirror  http://www.mumbaimirror.com/index.aspxpage=article&sectid=44&contentid=2011092420110924085554.I thought it worthwhile to make a note of the Rupee -Dollar exchange rates at different times.

Historically the lowest point reached by the rupee was 49 in May 2002.

It did cross 50 very briefly late in 2008 due to the panic caused by the global financial crisis. Otherwise in the past twenty years we have been used to having the rupee exchange rate between 35 and 45. In fact it hovered around 45 for a very long time.

We did suffer two embarrassing sudden currency devaulations. The first was in 1966 (when rupee went from 5 to 7.5) and in 1991-92 (when rupee went from 15 to 32).

Marc Faber On Indian Equities


wealthymattersMarc Faber, the author of The Gloom, Boom & Doom report, spoke recently to Bloomberg UTV on the Indian equities and the global headwinds. Here are the key pointers from the interview:

On Indian economy:
– 2008-like fall will send dollar higher, rupee lower
– Domestic consumption remains India’s biggest story
– Growth in rural areas, population key driver

On Indian equities: 
– Difficult for Sensex to cross 21,000 in next 6 months
– Expect Sensex to fall 12000-15000 in near-term
– Don’t expect India to fall below 2008 levels – Markets got oversold in last 2 months
– Would accumulate Indian stocks on weakness
– May also look at investing in Indian banks
– Impossible for India to hit new high in next 6 months
– Banks continue to operate like hedge funds Read more of this post