The Yen Carry Trade


wealthymattersA carry trade is a strategy in which an investor sells a certain currency with a relatively low interest rate and uses the funds to purchase a different currency yielding a higher interest rate. A trader using this strategy attempts to capture the difference between the rates, which can often be substantial, depending on the amount of leverage used.

Here’s an example of a “yen carry trade”: a trader borrows 1 million Japanese yen from a Japanese bank, converts the funds into U.S. dollars and buys a bond for the equivalent amount. Let’s assume that the bond pays 4.5% and the Japanese interest rate is set at 0%. The trader stands to make a profit of 4.5% as long as the exchange rate between the countries does not change. Many professional traders use this trade because the gains can become very large when leverage is taken into consideration. If the trader in our example uses a common leverage factor of 10:1, then he can stand to make a profit of 45%.Big outfits carry leverages of 100-300% Read more of this post

Cost Of Mining Gold


With all the talk of returning to a gold standard in some or other way, do take a look at the gold production cost in the US.

Then you will get the Buffett wisdom of not betting against the US.

Not to say that other countries challenging the US for pole position won’t provide good opportunities for agile people to make money.

wealthymatters

Falling Oil Prices


Falling oil prices are good news for oil refiners and companies using hydrocarbon based raw materials.

Falling crude oil prices help contain the import bill of countries like India. And a godsend when we are struggling with lower export earnings.

But there is the danger of salary cuts,layoffs and related problems in producer countries that might ultimately hit certain exports to these countries.

So which countries are likely to be the danger areas ?Take a look at the cost of production figures in various countries and check them against prevailing oil prices.

oil costs

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Chinese Real Estate “Investments”


Interestingly these properties were  paid for by end-buyers with savings and there are no mortgages on them.

And there are stories of the Chinese cashing in these properties and buying others in the US.

Stuck by the similarities with the Japanese idea of saving in houses to fund retirements. Unfortunately things did not pan out as projected. With a glut in houses, prices didn’t go up as projected and an ageing and dwindling population further reduced demand for houses.

Bullion Alert


More than the bond market, we are likely to have a crisis in the gold and silver market.

Update the information in the video with this information :Link.

History tells us that every fractional banking system throughout the ages has collapsed under the weight of far too many liabilities piled on top of too few assets to back those liabilities.  This one eventually will collapse as well.

Going by what happened to the Hunt Brothers, the US government will step in to ward off by any means, any speculator taking on the Comex.So even while playing this bet will take less than 2% the size of the bet made by Soros against the British monetary system, we’ll have to wait for an entity not under Uncle Sam’s control to lay this bet.