6 Investment Rules


wealthymatters.comThe secret to doing well in stocks over the long term is to avoid making big mistakes rather than being spectacularly right a few times in one’s career.After all it just takes just one big enough mistake to wipe away all the gains of the previous years.The following checklist is to help avoid making major mistakes.

1. Avoid following the crowd.
Avoid the hottest stocks in the hottest sectors, which are invariably priced high.It’s far safer and more profitable to invest in stocks of companies that are either well-known but currently out of favour or not tracked at all by analysts often simply because they are too small to be of interest to institutional investors.

 2. Look for consistently positive cash flow and beware of debt.
Share holders make money through dividends.The company first needs to throw off cash through its operations to be in a position to reward shareholders consistently.Debt reduces the surplus available for share holders.Excessive debt might kill a company in bad times.

 3. Avoid serial acquirers and if necessary buy stocks of good companies after big acquisitions.
Making many small acquisitions or one big one are both fraught with peril, yet some managements insist on engaging in such behaviour regularly. They often fritter away the resources of their companies and shareholders in this way.If you must buy a company that has just made an acquisition buy after the deal , when the share price has dropped , not in the frenzy before the deal. Read more of this post

Some Assumptions To Check Before Investing


wealthymatters.comThe human brain is fascinating in the way it can use a rough form of inductive logic to help us make sense of our very complex world.But the human brain is not infalliable.Mental heuristics in the form of common sense,educated guesses,rules of thumb,intuitive judgments,etc.can help us find a good enough solution fast, when an exhaustive analysis is impractical.But at the same time such heuristics can lead us to over-generalize and make mistakes.Here is a checklist of some common traps to avoid falling into while investing:

  • Correlating GDP growth and market performance. High GDP growth rates don’t always translate into stockmarket outperformance. This may be due to three reasons—(a) unlisted companies may contribute to a large part of GDP growth; (b) while the listed companies’ net profit may grow, dilution of capital through periodic issuances will adversely affect earnings per share (EPS) and return-on-equity (RoE), thereby, impacting stock prices; and (c) the nature of stockmarkets, which serve as leading indicators, resulting in prices surging ahead well ahead of the actual GDP growth and, then, plateauing out for a long period once the growth actually materialises. Read more of this post
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